Please. It is a Top 50 Company regarding diversification and a member of the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index and the S&P ESG Index. Please log in to your account or sign up in order to add this asset to your watchlist. Fortunately for AbbVie shareholders Gonzalez and his management team have had many more years than expected to prepare for Humira's Loss of Exclusivity ("LOE"), and it has never been the Pharma's ambition to build its business around a single, all-conquering but time-limited drug. All Rights Reserved. The average Abbvie stock price prediction forecasts a potential upside of 7.07% from the current ABBV share price of $155.27. That makes companies like AbbVie generally very attractive to investors although it should be noted that AbbVie carries a very high level of debt which stood at >$60bn as of Q322 - more or less the amount the company paid to acquire Allergan. AbbVie had a net margin of 20.39% and a trailing twelve-month return on equity of 154.52%. Shares of ABBV stock can be purchased through any online brokerage account. AbbVie CEO Gonzalez told the audience at the JPM Healthcare conference that: We now have a little over 90% access for next year for Humira at parity. In the past I have written about the high level of competition between major Pharma in the auto-immune space - for example, for Psoriatic Arthritis the list of approved drugs includes Humira, UCB Pharma's Cimzia, Amgen's Enbrel, Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) Stelara, Eli Lilly's (LLY) Talzt, Novartis' (NVS) Cosentyx and Bristol-Myers Squibb's (BMY) Orencia. Based on earnings estimates, AbbVie will have a dividend payout ratio of 54.11% next year. Morningstar: 2019 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Rinvoq's progress has been a little more circumspect, but almost as impressive. Read our dividend analysis for ABBV. Allergan plc was an Ireland-based pharmaceutical company focused on health-oriented aesthetic products and is the owner of Botox. Finally I can present a target price for AbbVie stock in 2023 using DCF / EBITDA analysis. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. Among the more notable are ImmuVen, Pharamcyclics and Allergan plc. Today, AbbVie operates as a diversified multi-national pharmaceutical company with a patient-centric approach to research. AbbVie product revenue forecasts to 2030. American biopharmaceutical company Abbvie (ABBV) has surged nearly 13% year to date (YTD), and 35% year-over-year (YOY), as of 30 June. According to CEO Gonzalez: Over the long-term, aesthetics continues to be an extremely attractive underpenetrated market with significant growth potential. Without the additional patents - >130 in total - Humira would have lost its market exclusivity in 2016, but having eventually lost protection in Europe, which has resulted in a sales decline from $6.3bn in 2018, to ~$2.7bn in 2022, Humira will finally face generic competition in the US from the beginning of this year. The company employs 50,000 workers across the globe. AbbVie has been working hard to ensure the 2 drugs it has developed to replace Humira - Skyrizi, which inhibits the pro-inflammatory cytokine IL23, and Rinvoq, a Janus Kinase (enzymes involved in immune cell function) inhibitor - are winning approvals and growing sales in Humira's markets. As per management's guidance, I am modelling for $5.7bn of revenues in 2023, with growth beginning to accelerate substantially from 2025 / 26 onwards. I have speculatively assigned peak sales of $2bn, although it should be noted that success here is far from guaranteed, although if AbbVie did succeed with ABBV916 sales could be 2 or 3x higher than my forecast. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Within the oncology division sales of Imbruvica fell 17% year-on-year. In 2022, the company will most likely boast 12 "blockbuster" (>$1bn per annum) selling assets, driving ~$48bn of revenues between them, with Humira being the only drug that faces a near term patent expiry, whilst AbbVie is promising at least 6 or 7 major new product launches by 2026. Forecast . The acquisition expanded AbbVies neuroscience portfolio, adding first-in-class modulators of the synaptic vesicle protein 2A, including lead molecule SDI-118 currently in Phase 1b studies. As of 2023 February 22, Wednesday current price of ABBV stock is 151.340$ and our data indicates that the asset price has been in an uptrend for the past 1 year (or since its inception).. Abbvie stock price as been showing a rising tendency so we believe that similar market segments were very popular in the given time frame. Among its many positions is sustainable operations so it can deliver life-changing therapies to those who need them most. It now expects full-year profit in the range of $13.92-$14.12 a share. ABBV-916 is therefore a real opportunity for AbbVie to develop a more effective and safer drug in the same class and claim a sizeable share of a 6m patient market. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" ABBV shares. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). (844) 978-6257. However, there are some general principles that can be followed in order to improve the accuracy of stock price predictions. Stock Price Forecast The 21 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Abbvie Inc have a median target of 165.00, with a high estimate of 200.00 and a low estimate of 135.00. Net earnings also saw a steep rise to $4.49bn from $3.55bn, while net revenue jumped to $13.54bn from 13.01bn. . I am using a weighted average cost of capital of ~10%, which is broadly consistent with the figure I use when modelling for the other 7 members of what I term the "Big 8" US Pharmas - Johnson & Johnson, Eli Lilly, Pfizer, Merck & Co (MRK), Bristol Myers Squibb, Amgen, and Gilead Sciences (GILD) - which helps prove the accuracy of the calculation. When looking for ABBV stock forecasts, it's important to bear in mind that analysts' forecasts can be wrong. In this article we take a closer look at the Abbvie stock forecast, after analysing the firms latest earnings, price moving news and analyst comments. Perhaps this is an example of how ruthless management can be when encountering falling sales, and a warning that not all company divisions are guaranteed to thrive. Earnings for AbbVie are expected to decrease by -0.55% in the coming year, from $11.00 to $10.94 per share. Is this happening to you frequently? The company projects the U.S. toxin market (where Botox is the top product) will decline by mid-single digits. Skyrizi has shown superiority to Humira in fields such as plaque psoriasis by a statistically significant amount, with a comparable safety profile, whilst Rinvoq has shown superiority in e.g. Invest alongside the model portfolio or simply access the investment bank-grade financial models and research. Projections are based on making fundamental and technical studies of the ABBV stock price performance. contact@marketbeat.com Drug pricing is another issue - there is bipartisan, and international pressure on US Pharmas to reduce drug pricing, particularly outside of the US. Drug development has not traditionally been one of AbbVie's strengths - it has not had to be - but we ought to see the positive results of heavy investment into the oncology pipeline over the next 5-7 years, and by 2030, I believe this division could account for >17% of AbbVie's total revenues. In my last note on AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) for Seeking Alpha - in early July - I reviewed the Big Pharma's Q1'22 earnings and looked ahead to the release of Q2'22 figures. There are currently 9 hold ratings and 7 buy ratings for the stock. We now expect global sales for Skyrizi to reach more than $10 billion in 2025, an increase of $2.5 billion versus our previous guidance, reflecting higher performance across basically all of the indications. Enjoy your holiday weekend and catch up on our most read stories this week. American Consumer News, LLC dba MarketBeat 2010-2023. Sign-up to receive the latest news and ratings for AbbVie and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter. For the next eight years, the forecast is for Free Cash Flow to grow by . AbbVie's success - as its shareholders will doubtless be aware - stems from the runaway success of its immunology drug Humira, which is indicated for a range of autoimmune conditions, including Rheumatoid Arthritis, Psoriatic Arthritis, Psoriasis, Crohn's Disease, Ulcerative Colitis, Hidradenitis Suppurativa and Ankylosing spondylitis. Zscaler, Inc Plummets, Is It Time To Buy The Dip? Skyrizi and Rinvoq will together achieve a higher peak sales figure than even Humira could manage, even while Humira is still making a substantial top line contribution, still accounting for as much of 7% of AbbVie's total sales in 2030. The company provided earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $10.70- for the period. (my table and forecasts). Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Capital Com or its agents. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Aurora Cannabis Revenue Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030. How to Decide, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Expanding in the West, One Way to Earn More From Dividend Stocks, How to Choose a Winning Dividend Investing Strategy, 3 Industries Leading the Stock Market Rebound, Oil Tankers Boost Dividends, See Continued Robust Business In '23. While some of the gains are due to investor perception that it is a strong company, some view ABBV as a defensive stock, with most of the other stocks in the sector also doing well. It is important to do your own research, and remember that your decision to trade depends on your attitude to risk, your expertise in the market, the spread of your investment portfolio and how comfortable you feel about losing money. What other stocks do shareholders of AbbVie own? An investment in AbbVie is not without risk, but my contention is that this Pharma is in good hands - CEO Gonzalez has made few mistakes during his near-decade in charge - and will emerge from the Humira LOE a stronger and more diverse company. AbbVie is one of the largest global Pharmaceuticals, with a market cap of >$265bn. Popular online brokerages with access to the U.S. stock market include WeBull, Vanguard Brokerage Services, TD Ameritrade, E*TRADE, Robinhood, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab. In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies. To summarize, Humira may be going off-patent, but is more than capable of delivering double-digit billion revenues for another 3-4 years, and even in 2030, it could be amongst the top 20 best-selling drugs worldwide. 67.71% of the stock of AbbVie is held by institutions. The CEO, speaking at a fireside chat during the conference, commented: we remain well-positioned to absorb the impact from the Humira LOE and quickly return to strong growth starting in 2025. My detailed modeling suggests there is 15-20% upside to look forward to in the short term and that ABBV stock remains a solid long-term buy opportunity for investors. In the last four years, Johnson & Johnson's Free Cash Flow has fallen from $18.53B to $17.00B - a 8.28% decrease. These are Immunology, Oncology, Neurology, Virology and Eye Care. z o.o., AbbVie Productos Farmacuticos Limitada, AbbVie Products LLC, AbbVie Promoo L.da, AbbVie Pte. On average, they expect the company's stock price to reach $161.12 in the next twelve months. Capital Com Australia Pty Ltd (ABN 47 625 601 489) is a company registered in Australia and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) under AFSL 513393. High institutional ownership can be a signal of strong market trust in this company. 1 dividend stock for a LIFETIME of income. AbbVie projected sales - immunology (my forecasts and assumptions). I write about Biotech, Pharma and Healthcare stocks and share investment tips. There is an element of risk to that as clinical trial failures are common, even for a giant like AbbVie, and even CEO Gonzalez may be forced to backtrack on some of his blockbuster sales projections. Both Leqembi and Donanemab are potential $5bn - $10bn selling assets, but both drugs still have safety questions to answer and not certain to be made eligible for reimbursement. AbbVie, like its parent Abbot Laboratories, is a well-established dividend growth stock. (6.33% Upside) Based on 15 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for AbbVie in the last 3 months. To date, the company had invested more than $50 billion into research through more than 250 partnerships. Based on an average daily volume of 5,600,000 shares, the days-to-cover ratio is currently 2.1 days. According to 34 stock analysts, the average 12-month stock price forecast for AbbVie stock is $166.14, which predicts an increase of 7.62%. MarketRank is calculated as an average of available category scores, with extra weight given to analysis and valuation. AbbVie Fair Value Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030 In the last two years, AbbVie's Price has grown, increasing from $91.55 to $130.05 - an increase of 42.06%. Although investing in AbbVie isn't riskless, it is advisable based on what we know about the company. Our Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination provides important information about our products and who our products are more likely to be suited to Capital.com does not provide financial or investment advice and you should seek independent advice if you are unsure of the risks or whether our products are suitable for you. The most recent increase was . That is a significant difference because at a forward P/E of 10x AbbVie stock looks like a solid buy opportunity, but at a P/E of 20x, when we consider the risk/challenge of Humira's LOE, prospective investors may prefer to maintain a watching brief as opposed to opening a position. Abbvie has a strong pipeline of projects ahead, and has recently received US FDA approval of its ulcerative colitis drug Rinvoq. To be sure, AbbVie is modeling for a tough year in 2023 for the aesthetics market. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in ABBV, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares. GSK Free Cash Flow Forecast for 2023 - 2025 - 2030.
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